|
|
Post by oldgeek on Sept 11, 2018 19:42:30 GMT -5
Impacts from Hurricane Florence will be reaching us in a day or so. It could be minor or it could be major. I have been playing this hurricane guessing game for years. There are so many things to consider. If you stay and the sh-- happens to hit the fan, there is no place to go. If you leave you never know how long you may be kept away even if not much happened while you were gone. Then there is the hassle of dealing with 1 million other people in the same boat, everyone is looking to find a place to stay or trying to get back home, and it can take days or weeks to be allowed to come home. There is also the financial aspect of it all, money spent on prepping for the storm and cleanup or repairs afterwards and travel costs like gas and accommodations. IF you can stay home and stay safe, a LOT of the stuff mentioned above is avoided, and you get the added value of being able to protect your personal property from threats. My usual strategy is to wait...wait until the storm is near and follow its track closely, being ready to leave quickly if we need to. I don't play around with winds over 100 mph or rising water, I am to old to do that anymore.  Over the years I have grown to enjoy using the incredibly large amount of satellite imagery available to the general public. There are also many different data "products" developed that predict things like potential storm surge, potential rain fall accumulation, and current moisture saturation of the land. The stuff is fascinating to me. The kicker, and the main point of my concern on this storm is that it will likely stall and dump rain for days. |
|
|
|
Post by gsx600racer on Sept 11, 2018 19:56:49 GMT -5
Funny, I was thinking about ya after watching the weather today.
Its a tough call. Im sure you have racked up several hurricane experiences. If your not on the shore line where storm surge is an issue, how wooded the area is around your house, as well as the category level of storm, Id stick it out.(cat3 or less). Also depends on your elevation, if this storm stalls, your going to be hit with a lot of rain.(maybe for days).
It boils down how prepared you are and how long you can hold out to things get back to some level of normalicy.
I am close to the shore line here(approx 1 mile), well above the flood limit. I am in a valley so not hit as hard with wind. Live down the street from a school so power is usually restored in a reasonable time.
|
|
|
|
Post by oldgeek on Sept 11, 2018 20:08:44 GMT -5
I live in a mobile home about a mile from shore. Worst case scenario could bring water that far in. We move over to my fathers house, not very far from my place if it gets bad at all. Thankfully he is at a family reunion in Ohio....one less thing for me to deal with.
|
|
|
|
Post by gsx600racer on Sept 11, 2018 20:12:09 GMT -5
I live in a mobile home about a mile from shore. Worst case scenario could bring water that far in. We move over to my fathers house, not very far from my place if it gets bad at all. Thankfully he is at a family reunion in Ohio....one less thing for me to deal with. I wish I could be more helpful, but I will say this much. If your in doubt staying at your place, id move to your dads before the storm hits vs moving in the middle of the storm. |
|
|
|
Post by ryan_ott on Sept 11, 2018 20:12:11 GMT -5
If you stay make sure your prepared for the days ahead. If you decide to leave make sure it’s not too late that your stuck in traffic with a storm pounding down on you. Remember to be safe whatever you choose. I’ve got a garage full of toys if you need shelter and 9 hours to kill  |
|
|
|
Post by jwinn on Sept 11, 2018 20:17:43 GMT -5
Its still gonna be a cat 3 hurricane when it gets there. Thats around 120mph! And ppl don't realize, even though they say 30 inches of rain, it could be twice that. With sewers backing up and all.
It's better to be safe than sorry. Your life isn't worth being wrong, brother.
|
|
|
|
Post by gsx600racer on Sept 11, 2018 20:21:23 GMT -5
If you stay make sure your prepared for the days ahead. If you decide to leave make sure it’s not too late that your stuck in traffic with a storm pounding down on you. Remember to be safe whatever you choose. I’ve got a garage full of toys if you need shelter and 9 hours to kill Can I come visit? Last I seen you can grill a mean exhaust.  |
|
|
|
Post by ryan_ott on Sept 11, 2018 20:24:50 GMT -5
If you stay make sure your prepared for the days ahead. If you decide to leave make sure it’s not too late that your stuck in traffic with a storm pounding down on you. Remember to be safe whatever you choose. I’ve got a garage full of toys if you need shelter and 9 hours to kill Can I come visit? Last I seen you can grill a mean exhaust. Sure, I could use company... My wife gives me funny looks when I try to talk 2 stroke to her. |
|
chino
Scoot Enthusiast
What status?
Posts: 164
|
Post by chino on Sept 11, 2018 21:00:57 GMT -5
Trust your instincts as far as stay or go, risky either way.be prepared for the worst,hope for the best! Stay safe..! I live in indiana, tornado alley!.never been in a huricaine before but I do know that,high winds and mobile homes don't play well together..good luck to all in the path..
|
|
|
|
Post by 90GTVert on Sept 11, 2018 21:21:06 GMT -5
I have no advice other than maybe put a seatbelt on the scoot so the wind doesn't blow you off. Just wanted to wish you the best with whatever course of action you decide on and I hope it's not as bad as they think it will be.
|
|
|
|
Post by oldgeek on Sept 11, 2018 21:25:46 GMT -5
The beautiful thing about waiting to leave at the last minute is that if you do decide to leave, there is very little traffic at all.
We have been under a mandatory evacuation since midday yesterday and most of the people have left already. I was over at Scootopia and there are very few people out and about. It is incredibly quiet outside.
Hurricanes move fairly slow, plenty of time to move out of the way if necessary.
|
|
|
|
Post by gsx600racer on Sept 11, 2018 21:32:53 GMT -5
The beautiful thing about waiting to leave at the last minute is that if you do decide to leave, there is very little traffic at all. We have been under a mandatory evacuation since midday yesterday and most of the people have left already. I was over at Scootopia and there are very few people out and about. It is incredibly quiet outside. Hurricanes move fairly slow, plenty of time to move out of the way if necessary. Sorta like this. |
|
|
|
Post by oldgeek on Sept 11, 2018 21:52:46 GMT -5
The beautiful thing about waiting to leave at the last minute is that if you do decide to leave, there is very little traffic at all. We have been under a mandatory evacuation since midday yesterday and most of the people have left already. I was over at Scootopia and there are very few people out and about. It is incredibly quiet outside. Hurricanes move fairly slow, plenty of time to move out of the way if necessary. Sorta like this. Exactly like that! LOL |
|
|
|
Post by 190mech on Sept 12, 2018 15:40:01 GMT -5
I'm not on the coast,about 80 miles inland..I'll stay and hope for the best,living in the country we are the last ones to get power back on(2 weeks for the last tropical storm)..Looks like Florence will stall at the coast and dump tons of rain on us before moving on(yee-ha!).Ive got a bunch of good running chain saws to cut my way out if needed..oldgeek,if ya gotta go inland,you are welcome here,cant say it'll be a bunch better but we could talk a lot of 2 strokes!!
|
|
|
|
Post by fugaziiv on Sept 12, 2018 15:46:59 GMT -5
After Irma last year it took over 11 days for all of us here at PFS to get our power back. Additionally, in the Keys where she hit, don't let anyone fool you, it's not close to recovered yet. If you're a mile from shore and dead nuts in the line of that storm... I'd get out. Be safe.
Matt
|
|
